Let’s talk about safe national assembly constituencies for three major political forces in Pakistan.  Result of new delimitations  are not very promising for PML-N and it will  be ultimate loser in process. Though Punjab loses 7 seats in delimitations but PML-N loses 11 seats from its strong hold while 3 seats added in in south Punjab where PML-N’s party vote bank is very less. On the other hand PTI remained ultimate winner as KP got for new constituencies which are all in PTI strongholds. So, without any electoral vote bank damage  PML-N will be  in deficit of 15 seats than 2013.

In post Lodhran scenario, actually there is no confirmed seat for any political party in Punjab and KP, even for MQM in Karachi. Only security is for PPP for its 30 interior Sindh National assembly seats. Below is the table of constituencies which could be safe for PML-N. on worst case scenario PML-N can bag 58 to 60 seats while on average run it will be around 80 seats while best case scenario can bring them 100 to 105 seats.

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Though decision of tickets and candidates from parties are far for final so below table is based on assumption that previous winning candidates will be awarded tickets.

Const. District Tehsil/QH PML-N
NA 57 Rawalpindi i Muree/Kotli Sattian Sahid khaqan Abbassi
NA 59 Rawalpindi iii Rawapindi Tehsil Ch. Nisar Ali
NA 65 Chakwal ii Tallagang/Lawa/Kallerkahar Mumtaz Tamman
NA 66 Jehlum i MC Jehlum/Sohawa/Dina Ch. Khadim Hussain
NA 70 Gujrat iii LalaMusa/Dinga Ch. Jaffar Iqbal
NA 71 Gujrat iv SaraiAlamgir/Kharian+cantt. Ch. Abid raza
NA 72 Sialkot i Pasrur Zahid Hamid
NA 74 Sialkot iii Samberial Rana Shamim
NA 77 Narowal i Zafarwal/Shakar Garh Daniyal Aziz
NA 78 Narowal ii Narowal Ahsan iqbal
NA 80 Gujranwala ii Gujranwala cantt + Tehsil Mehmood Bashir Virk
NA 81 Gujranwala iii MC Gujranwala Khurram Dastgir Khan
NA 82 Gujranwala iv MC Gujranwala Usman Ibrahim
NA 85 M.B.Din i M.B.Din/ Phalia Mumtaz Tarrar
NA 87 Hafizabad Hafizabad/Pindi bhattian Saira Afzal Tarrar
NA 88 Sargodha i Bhera /Bhalwal Pir Amin ul Hasnat
NA 90 Sargodha iii Sargosha MC+Cantt. Hamid Hameed
NA 94 Khushab ii Johrabad/Mithatiwana/Hadali Shakir Bashir Awan
NA 98 Bhakker ii Bhakker Dr. Afzal Dhandla
NA 103 Faisalabad iii Tandlianwala /Jaranwala Asim Nazir
NA 105 Faisalabad v Faislabad Sader/ Sumandri Shehbaz Babur
NA 107 Faisalabad vii MC Faisalabad Rana Afzal Khan
NA 109 Faisalabad ix MC Faisalabad Abid Sher Ali
NA 110 Faisalabad  x MC Faisalabad Haji Akram Ansari
NA 111 Toba T.Singh i Gojra Khalid Mehmod Waraich
NA 113 Toba T.Singh iii Kamalia/ Pir Mahal Ch. AsadurRehman
NA 115 Jhang ii Jhang Tehsi/ Jhang MC Shaikh Waqas Akram
NA 116 Jhang iii Shorkot Saima Akhtar Bharwana
NA 118 Nankana ii Nankana Sahib Tehsil Dr. Shuzra Mansab
NA 119 Sheikhupura i Muridke / Ferozwala Rana Afzal Hussain
NA 121 Sheikhupura iii Sheikhupura Tehsil Mian Javed latif
NA 123 Lahore i MC Lahore Malik Riaz
NA 124 Lahore ii MC Lahore Hamza Shehbaz
NA 126 Lahore iv Lahore city Tehsil Mehr Ishtiaq
NA 127 Lahore v Shalimar Tehil Pervaiz Malik
NA 128 Lahore vi Shalimar Tehil Sh. Rohail Asgher
NA 134 Lahore xii Model Town Tehsil Shazia Mubashir
NA 135 Lahore xiii Lahore city / Model town/Raiwind    ????
NA 136 Lahore xiv Raiwaind Tehsil Afzal Khokhar
NA 137 Kasur i Kasur Tehsil /Mustafabad MC Wasim Akhter Sheikh
NA 138 Kasur ii Raja jang/Kot Radha kishan/Khuddian Salman Hanif
NA 140 Kasur iv Pattoki Rana Ishaq khan
NA 141 Okara i Okara MC / Okara Cantt. Ch. Riazulhaq
NA 145 PakPattan i Pakpattan tehsil Syed Athar Gilani
NA 146 Pakpattan ii Arifwala Rana Zahid Hussain
NA 151 Kahnewal ii Khanewal MC/ Abdulhakim Mohammad Khan Daha
NA 153 Khanewal iv Jahanian Ch. Iftikhar Nazir
NA 154 Multan i Multan cantt. / Bosan Sikander Bosan
NA 157 Multan iv Qadirpur Ran/ Makhdoom Rashid AbdulGhaffar Dogar
NA 160 Lodhran i Dunya pur/ Kahror Pakka Abdulrahman Kanju
NA 169 Bahwalnagar iv Fortabbass / HaroonAbad Ijazulhaq
NA 170 Bahawalpur i MC Bahwalpur Baleeghurehman
NA 176 Rahimyarkhan ii Khanpur Sheikh Fayyazuddin
NA 179 Rahimyarkhan v Rahim Yar Khan Mian Imtiaz
NA 189 D.G. Khan i Tounsa Sharif Amjad Farooq Khosa
NA 191 D.G.Khan iii DG Khan MC Awais laghari
NA 192 D.G.Khan iv Kot Chutta / Choti Jamal Laghari
NA 193 Rajanpur i Jampur Jaffer Khan Laghari